Presidential Poll: Has Ron Paul Hit His Ceiling?

St. Charles County Patch sites are polling readers on a weekly basis to gauge their interest in the election, its candidates and what issues are most important to them.

As the final four GOP nominees prepare for this week's debate in Arizona, it's still anyone's guess as to who the eventual candidate will be.

Mitt Romney and Rick Santorum appear to be swapping places. Newt Gingrich has been relatively quiet. And one report from CNN says Ron Paul may have hit his ceiling.

From CNN:

All four Republican presidential hopefuls have jointly suffered from an increasing Republican anxiety about the field.

The latest CNN/ORC poll, conducted a week ago, shows 55 (percent) of Republicans are satisfied with their presidential candidates, down 11 points from October 2011.

Arizona's debate matters.

It could be an oasis for Gingrich's regularly in-debt campaign, providing an audience of millions for the price of a plane flight and a hotel room. Debates are usually terra firma for Gingrich, who has an instinct for the jugular and a way of channeling the anger and frustration of the Republican right. His assaults on the media and on President Barack Obama have regularly drawn sustained applause and sometimes standing O's from debate audiences.

The race for the GOP candidacy has been up and down to say the least. A Gallup's daily tracking poll on the Republican presidential race, according to the Huffington Post, showed former Sen. Rick Santorum (R-Pa.) moving ahead of former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney by eight percentage points (36 to 28 percent) nationwide. Santorum has gained 20 points in 12 days.

From the report:

Thirteen days earlier, on February 7, Romney led with 37 percent in Gallup's tracking poll, followed by former House Speaker Newt Gingrich (21 percent) and Santorum (17 percent).

On January 27, Gingrich led Romney, 32 to 26 percent.

Twelve days before that, on January 15, Romney led Gingrich, 37 to 14 percent.

And that's just the last two months. Gallup reports that the lead switched seven times more in 2011.

Why the volatility? Take a look at our quick take via video, drawing on this earlier Huffington Post report.

Up next are GOP primaries in Michigan and Arizona on Feb. 28. South Carolina is also set to hold its Democratic primary that day, too. The trifecta of primaries, depending on who wins, could cloud the nominee picture even more than it already is.

St. Charles County Patch sites are now polling readers to gauge their interest in the election, its candidates and what issues are most important to them. This poll will be published each week until the end of the election season.

We hope these numbers will provide insight into how attitudes and ideologies shifted throughout what seems sure to be a cutthroat political atmosphere.

For more on the candidates, CLICK HERE

Mike Parent February 21, 2012 at 12:41 PM
Just Imagine how this "race" would have progressed if the MSM and the GOP establishment didn't have their systemic anti Paul agenda. CNN "gave" him 1.5 mins in a 90 min "Debate". How much more proof would anyone need to see the Establishment is doing everything they can to "box out" the good Dr? Obama doesn't want to face him and the GOP can't own him. It's not anyone but Romney, it's anyone but Paul! Now they're propping up Santorum and his Kooky ideas as their latest "front runner".
DalenCheryl Kaskey February 21, 2012 at 12:52 PM
There you have it, Ron Paul has a ceiling of 78%. Of course that could rise if more vote for him. So for now the ceiling is 78% as backed by your own poll.
Stephen Schweter February 21, 2012 at 12:56 PM
Hello Outside OF DR.RP all the others Are Empty Suits. Dr.Paul is spot on on all thye Issues. Peace Stephen. I will vote for him even if I have to write him in. I do not relay on TV at all for Info sice it is so Biased it made itself VOID of any credability at all.. Dr.RP would bring more hope and change then BO who is an Object Failure. unless U want America to fall. Peace Stephen schweter
Scott E Downer February 21, 2012 at 01:03 PM
the relationship between government and big business and how this collaboration is infringing on civil rights
DalenCheryl Kaskey February 21, 2012 at 01:06 PM
It's up to 100% now.... So there is basically no limit to how high Dr. Paul can go. Well, maybe 100% is the limit. But I have heard of athletes that can give 110% so maybe that is the limit. Morons....!!!!!!!!!
Colram February 21, 2012 at 01:08 PM
It would be interesting to see how quickly Ron Paul's numbers would rise if the MSM covered events like the Veterans March On Washington For Ron Paul, rather than actively attempting to discredit and minimize his campaign. http://www.awareandprepare.com/looking-for-live-stream-of-veterans-march-on-washington-for-ron-paul/
Kevin Kelley February 21, 2012 at 01:11 PM
Ron Paul did win Maine. Don't bother telling these media source's about ethics. Try to stay on point with your comments by telling the truth that they are suppressing from the American People (FYI 5 people control 88% of the media) Ron Paul is in a close second place in delegate count behind Romney by only a few delegates so keep up the hard work. As a long time Republican and Christian I can't wait to vote for Ron Paul
cassie February 21, 2012 at 01:13 PM
I love how the poll on here states, "this is not a scientific poll." Haha! What poll is scientific? The ones on the lamestream media? What a joke. I suppose if Santorum (ewwww) or mitt was winning, it'd be scientific. Geesh!!! Ron Paul 2012!!!!!!!!!!!!!
cassie February 21, 2012 at 01:17 PM
I mean, Santorum? Really? Good God, he's not even on the ballot in all fifty states! They really want Obama for four more years, because he's just so buyable and does as he's told. Disgusted by it all!!!
Allan Smithy February 21, 2012 at 01:52 PM
Wow! A headline with Ron Paul's name in it, then gets mentioned once more with same headline quote in entire article. An article riddled with the other 3 candidates names. How desperate and obvious it is your efforts to demean Ron Paul! What has this world come to? Ron Paul 2012
ME February 21, 2012 at 01:58 PM
No kidding. I have noticed that over the past week, when I click onto an article with "Ron Paul" in the title, the article says almost nothing about RP. Look at this article for instance and then scan through and see how much of the article is directly about Dr. Paul. There is little mention of Paul directly in the body of the article. Newest ploy to divert attention away from the only non-establishment candidate.
Aces February 21, 2012 at 02:06 PM
Paul for president his ideas and promblem solving with America and foreign polices are what we need. Along with that the way he thinks is a good conservative and is willing to make the choices best for "We The People" of America even if it makes him look bad.
Matthew Petre February 21, 2012 at 02:19 PM
We can make this happen people... one friend (or enemy at a time) we just need to keep spreading the truth and the ideas of Liberty and Non-Interventionism and Free Markets will prevail! Ron Paul 2012! Do whatever you can to help spread the message of Liberty! As a long time Libertarian this will probably be the Republicans only shot of ever having my vote.... otherwise I'm writing in the good Dr. and then sticking with my second tier third party from that point on.
mayeeden February 21, 2012 at 03:51 PM
In the poll I choose all of the above as the most important issues. I pledge to write in the name of Ron Paul if it is not on my ballot. I hope others will do the same. THE MSM ignored a wonderful veterans for Ron Paul march held in front of the White House yesterday. That is how the media who received their freedom of speech, writing and filming because of their sacrifices and our wonderful one of a kind constitution has chosen to show their gratitude to the veterans in this country. Had they marched for perversion or for the other political party, there would have been blanket coverage from the beginning until the end of the march. There were 1000's in the march. It was only covered by a few young people with portable hand held cameras connected to the internet. No major media either from the left or the right would show it or give a truthful report. We need an honest leader after all of these decades being wasted on traitors. Go Ron Paul!
Jay Brooks February 21, 2012 at 03:52 PM
Ron Paul is the only candidate running who has a comprehensive plan to put this nation back on top. His elimination of the income tax would be "the greatest job creating engine the world has ever seen." The Wall Street Journal. His plan to cut $1Trillion in year one and to balance the budget in 3 would also do wonders for bringing jobs home. And the Credit agencies agree, sighting that "If Ron Paul were elected, the US would likely have its AAA rating back within 6 months." Phasing out the Federal Reserve prevents the US from going back into deficit spending, and putting us back on a gold standard not only helps the middle class earn and save, but is endorsed by Steve Forbes who has said "it would invite all sorts of foreign investors. Our currency would be as good as gold." Ron Paul is the only one with a plan that doesn't sound something like this "I would make things better." "I would use my business experience to improve that." The real question to all of these lame claims is HOW? Ron Paul answers that question, and until someone comes along with a better plan, I'm voting Ron Paul.
Jeff Rosado February 21, 2012 at 03:58 PM
Who has the money that is what matters ,this is what it has come to. People believe what ever the corrupt bias media is telling them RP gets no air time and when he does he's cut short. I truly believe the dems are afraid of him and are sitting and laughing at what is going on in this Rep race RON PAUL!!!!!!!!
Stephen Schweter February 21, 2012 at 11:17 PM
Hello WE have to do all we can for the good Dr.Ron Paul. I am hitting the college kids in my area with election registration forms to give to whoever will register in the repubilican party so they may vote in the primary for Dr.Ron Paul. All work all places where prople gather. I do precent ,I do phone banking and the cll from home program. We have to work harder to make this happen. I also work to gather info which could help the good DR.Ron Paul. I post stuff to my face book wall. I got 900 Super brochures,and if I get a person interested I give them 1 and I tell them for further info go to my face book wall. Since I walk every day I check in on people whom I already spoke with to see How they are coming along for the cause. Peace Stephen Schweter we can do it if the machines are not fixed by Mittens to work in his favor Mittens math is trickey with lost ballets,lights going out when ballets are collected and whatever trick they can think of. I think they got the ladies of the evening when it comes to turning tricks. Peace Stephen Schweter
RiderWriter February 22, 2012 at 04:11 PM
As others have noted, this is a ridiculous article. You do not put a headline on a piece and then fail to include ANY information supporting it, other than to repeat it!!! CNN "said something?" My, how informative and credible. Not even a link provided where one might actually learn what it is they DID say or how they arrived at the conclusion! I am extremely disappointed that our local Patch felt the need to jump on the mainstream media's bandwagon. Their coverage is geared towards flat-out ignoring Dr. Paul or finding every opportunity to dismiss or belittle him. In the future, please give ALL the candidates equal, FAIR and unbiased coverage, which is what I expect from journalists!
Tamara Duncan February 22, 2012 at 05:02 PM
The link to the CNN article that mentions that Ron Paul may have hit his ceiling is there, but you're right, it's hard to see. We'll change it so that it's easier to recognize the link, which is in blue.
Cary February 22, 2012 at 05:11 PM
Ron Paul supporters: Find the facebook page, "Saint Charles County for Ron Paul 2012" and join the group. Don't listen to the media - It's all about delegates. Ron Paul can get the most delegates and win. It's do-able, but we need your help. http://www.facebook.com/groups/stcharles4ronpaul/236173496476620/?notif_t=group_activity
Geeza February 22, 2012 at 05:24 PM
Everyone is now using this lame tactic. Write an article. Stick 'Ron Paul' somewhere in the title, and watch the clicks come in to an article that otherwise would hardly be noticed. The media bias against Ron Paul is blatantly obvious. The vets parade in Washington hardly gets a mention in the MSM. Dr Paul mentions Judge Napolitano as a potential running mate and nobody on the Fox network even mentions it casually in passing when the Judge himself is brought on as a pundit. I could just imagine if Santorum had name dropped Hannity as his potential VP. The network would have been salivating all over the news. If the MSM thinks that they are discouraging people like me from voting for Dr Paul they are sadly mistaken. Dr Paul could come last in every single remaining poll from now on and I will continue to support him with my votes and my money.


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